Early RAAS Inhibitor Exposure and In-Hospital Mortality in Adult Non-ICU Admissions

A MIMIC-IV Clinical Data Analytics and Real-World Evidence Portfolio Report

Author

Makoto Yoshida, PhD

Published

May 29, 2026

1 Analytical Report Scope

This report presents the analytic outputs from an admission-level observational study of early inpatient renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitor exposure and in-hospital mortality among adult non-ICU admissions in MIMIC-IV v3.1.

The emphasis is on reproducible clinical analytics: cohort construction, exposure definition, covariate handling, outcome modeling, absolute risk interpretation, and cross-platform validation using aggregate Python and SAS outputs already produced by the project.

The results remain hypothesis-generating. The design estimates associations after adjustment for measured covariates; it does not establish treatment effectiveness.

2 Reproducible Workflow

The workflow separates data construction, model estimation, visualization, and validation. The analytic sequence starts with an adult hospital admission cohort, excludes ICU-associated admissions, classifies early ACE inhibitor or ARB exposure from inpatient prescription records, fits adjusted outcome models, and validates selected aggregate outputs across Python and SAS.

The key design choice is that the fixed non-ICU cohort is constructed before exposure definition or outcome modeling. This keeps cohort eligibility independent of treatment status and makes the downstream descriptive, adjusted, absolute-risk, and validation outputs traceable to one admission-level analysis table.

End-to-end cohort construction and analysis workflow diagram.
End-to-end cohort construction and analysis workflow. Open full-size workflow diagram.

2.1 Source Tables To Analysis Dataset

The lineage figure separates native MIMIC-IV source tables from SQL-derived, project-created BigQuery tables. It shows how source tables feed nonicu_raas.nonicu_admissions, the fixed adult non-ICU admission-level cohort; nonicu_raas.exposure_raas_early, which contains early ACEi / ARB exposure indicators; and nonicu_raas.analysis_dataset, the final analysis-ready dataset for the observational association analyses.

MIMIC-IV source tables to project-created non-ICU cohort, exposure, and analysis dataset tables.
Source tables to analysis dataset lineage. Open full-size SVG.

3 Cohort And Exposure

The analytic cohort contained 460,786 adult non-ICU hospital admissions. Early RAAS inhibitor exposure was observed in 56,825 admissions, or 12.33% of the cohort.

Source notebooks: 01_cohort.ipynb and 02_exposure.ipynb.

Cohort measure Value
Adult non-ICU hospital admissions 460,786
No early RAAS inhibitor exposure 403,961
Early RAAS inhibitor exposure 56,825
Early RAAS exposure prevalence 12.33%
In-hospital deaths 2,326
Overall in-hospital mortality 0.50%

4 Baseline Characteristics

The baseline table summarizes the existing Table 1-style outputs. The main imbalance relevant to interpretation is age: exposed admissions were substantially older than unexposed admissions, reinforcing the need for adjusted outcome modeling.

Source notebook and supporting documentation: 03b_describe_analysis_dataset.ipynb and 03b_describe_analysis_dataset_SHORT.md.

Characteristic No early RAAS Early RAAS Analytic implication
Admissions, n 403,961 56,825 Exposure was present in 12.33% of admissions
Age, mean (SD), years 56.65 (19.55) 68.63 (14.01) Exposed admissions were older
Age, median (IQR), years 58.00 (41.00, 72.00) 69.00 (59.00, 79.00) Age imbalance supports adjustment
Hospital LOS, mean (SD), days 3.75 (5.45) 3.98 (5.13) Length of stay was similar but slightly higher in exposed admissions
Hospital LOS, median (IQR), days 2.33 (0.92, 4.58) 2.75 (1.50, 4.79) Descriptive only; not an exposure eligibility criterion
Female sex, n (%) 218,834 (54.17%) 27,549 (48.48%) Sex distribution differed modestly by exposure group
Male sex, n (%) 185,127 (45.83%) 29,276 (51.52%) RAAS-exposed admissions were more frequently male
Any early RAAS exposure 0.00 1.00 Primary exposure flag
Early ACE inhibitor exposure 0.00 0.682 Exposure subtype among exposed admissions
Early ARB exposure 0.00 0.326 Exposure subtype among exposed admissions
Concurrent early ACE inhibitor and ARB exposure 0.00 0.008 Rare combined early exposure

5 Endpoint And Model Specification

The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality, defined by hospital_expire_flag. The primary model was a multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, gender, race group, admission type, insurance category, and admission calendar period.

Component Specification
Unit of analysis Hospital admission
Primary exposure Any ACE inhibitor or ARB prescription started within 24 hours after admission
Primary endpoint In-hospital mortality
Model family Logistic regression
Adjustment set Age, gender, race group, admission type, insurance category, anchor year group
Main estimands Adjusted odds ratio, adjusted predicted risks, average marginal effect
Sensitivity models 24-hour landmark model; 24-hour landmark plus admission-source proxy

6 Unadjusted Mortality

The unadjusted outcome table summarizes crude mortality estimates before covariate adjustment. These estimates are descriptive only and do not address baseline differences between exposure groups.

Source notebook and supporting documentation: 04a_unadjusted_outcomes.ipynb and 04a_unadjusted_outcomes_SHORT.md.

Exposure group Admissions, n Deaths, n Non-deaths, n Mortality proportion Crude odds Crude OR vs no early RAAS
No early RAAS inhibitor use 403,961 2,177 401,784 0.005389 0.005418 1.000
Early RAAS inhibitor use 56,825 149 56,676 0.002622 0.002629 0.485

Bar chart comparing unadjusted in-hospital mortality by early RAAS exposure

Observed in-hospital mortality proportion by early RAAS exposure group.

7 Multivariable Logistic Regression

The primary adjusted model estimated lower odds of in-hospital mortality among admissions with early RAAS inhibitor exposure after adjustment for measured demographic and admission-related covariates.

Source notebook and supporting documentation: 04b_multivariable_outcomes.ipynb and 04b_multivariable_outcomes_SHORT.md.

The selected coefficient table summarizes key parameters from the primary adjusted logistic regression model. The table emphasizes the exposure term and representative adjusted covariates; it is not a causal effect table.

Term Coefficient 95% CI for coefficient Adjusted OR 95% CI for OR p-value
Early RAAS exposure -1.146 -1.314, -0.978 0.318 0.269, 0.376 6.42e-41
Age 0.065 0.062, 0.069 1.067 1.064, 1.071 0
Male gender 0.190 0.107, 0.274 1.210 1.112, 1.315 8.59e-06
Black race group -0.534 -0.756, -0.313 0.586 0.470, 0.731 2.27e-06
Hispanic race group -0.721 -1.022, -0.419 0.486 0.360, 0.658 2.84e-06
Medicare insurance -0.094 -0.269, 0.080 0.910 0.764, 1.084 0.289
Other insurance 2.683 2.492, 2.874 14.628 12.089, 17.702 2.14e-167
Anchor year 2020-2022 0.416 0.269, 0.564 1.517 1.308, 1.758 3.22e-08

Forest plot of adjusted odds ratios from the multivariable model

Adjusted odds ratios from the multivariable model.

Admission-type coefficients in the exported model output have very wide intervals for some categories. These terms are retained as adjustment variables but are not interpreted as stable clinical findings.

8 Sensitivity Analyses

Sensitivity analyses evaluated whether the exposure association was directionally stable when restricting to admissions surviving beyond 24 hours and when adding an admission-source proxy.

Source notebook: 04b_multivariable_outcomes.ipynb.

Landmark sensitivity analysis odds ratio summary

Sensitivity analysis odds ratios for early RAAS exposure.
Model Exposure OR 95% CI Purpose
Primary adjusted model 0.32 0.27, 0.38 Main association estimate
24-hour landmark model 0.36 0.30, 0.43 Reduces immortal-time bias from deaths before exposure opportunity
24-hour landmark plus proxy model 0.39 0.32, 0.46 Adds admission-source proxy for baseline severity context

The sensitivity estimates were directionally similar to the primary model, but they do not eliminate residual confounding or convert the analysis into a causal design.

9 Absolute Risk Interpretation

The adjusted odds ratio is a relative measure. Because in-hospital mortality was uncommon in this non-ICU cohort, the project also reported absolute risk estimates and average marginal effects. The estimated average adjusted risk difference associated with early RAAS exposure was approximately -0.38 percentage points.

Source notebook: 04b_multivariable_outcomes.ipynb.

Adjusted predicted mortality curves by age and early RAAS exposure

Adjusted predicted in-hospital mortality by age and early RAAS exposure status. Predicted mortality increased with age in both groups, while the early RAAS exposure group had lower adjusted predicted mortality across the plotted age range.

Because this is an observational model-based estimate, the curves should be interpreted as adjusted predicted probabilities under the fitted model, not as causal treatment effects. The figure is useful for communicating how the modeled association varies across age.

Adjusted risk estimand Estimate
Average predicted mortality risk without early RAAS exposure 0.5733%
Average predicted mortality risk with early RAAS exposure 0.1936%
Average marginal effect / risk difference -0.38 percentage points

Plot of age-specific adjusted absolute risk differences for early RAAS exposure

Age-specific adjusted absolute risk difference associated with early RAAS exposure.

The age-specific figure shows why absolute risk reporting matters: the same relative association can correspond to different absolute differences across the age distribution.

10 SAS-Python Validation

The validation workflow compares aggregate Python and SAS outputs. It is a reproducibility check, not a second clinical analysis and not a new estimand.

Source notebook and supporting documentation: 05_sas_python_validation.ipynb, 05_sas_python_validation_SHORT.md, and VALIDATION_NOTES.md.

The table below summarizes selected aggregate outputs used for cross-platform validation between Python and SAS.

Validation item Python output SAS output Agreement
No early RAAS admissions 403,961 403,961 Matched
No early RAAS deaths 2,177 2,177 Matched
Early RAAS admissions 56,825 56,825 Matched
Early RAAS deaths 149 149 Matched
Exposure coefficient -1.146180594 -1.146180594 Matched to displayed precision
Exposure adjusted OR 0.3178484462 0.3178484462 Matched to displayed precision
Exposure OR lower CI 0.2687743071 0.2687743084 Numerically equivalent after rounding
Exposure OR upper CI 0.3758827838 0.3758827820 Numerically equivalent after rounding

Observed differences for some sparse admission-type terms are validation diagnostics for model implementation and sparse-category behavior. They should not be interpreted as new clinical findings.

11 Interpretation Boundary

The primary adjusted association was consistent across the main model and the reported sensitivity analyses, and the exposure term was stable across Python and SAS validation outputs. The analysis remains observational.

The main sources of potential bias are residual confounding by indication, unmeasured comorbidity burden, acute physiologic severity, outpatient medication history, prescribing behavior, medication discontinuation, dose, duration, adherence, and selection effects related to early survival and treatment eligibility.

Exposure was based on inpatient prescription records. It did not directly measure outpatient chronic RAAS inhibitor use, medication adherence before admission, inpatient administration confirmation, or duration of therapy. The outcome was limited to in-hospital mortality.

12 Reproducibility And Governance

Reproducibility was addressed by separating cohort construction, exposure definition, model estimation, figure generation, and SAS-Python validation into version-controlled workflow steps. The rendered report is supported by notebooks, SQL definitions, aggregate validation outputs, and exported figures, while patient-level MIMIC-IV data remain outside the repository.

For complete environment and reproducibility details, see REPRODUCIBILITY.md.

MIMIC-IV and PhysioNet access, Google Cloud authentication, BigQuery access, and local SAS paths are configured outside the repository.

13 Conclusion

Early inpatient RAAS inhibitor exposure was associated with lower in-hospital mortality in this adult non-ICU MIMIC-IV cohort after adjustment for measured covariates. The association was also presented on the absolute risk scale, where the average adjusted risk difference was small in percentage-point terms and varied by age.

The portfolio value of the project is the reproducible clinical analytics workflow: transparent cohort and exposure definitions, multivariable modeling, absolute risk interpretation, cautious observational framing, and selected SAS-Python validation using aggregate outputs.